Carchá vs Mictlán analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.4%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
23.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carchá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2020 |
COM
1 - 1
CAR
37%
27%
36%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
CAR
1 - 2
ACH
37%
25%
38%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
AUR
0 - 1
CAR
33%
28%
39%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
CAR
1 - 1
SAC
44%
27%
29%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
DEP
1 - 2
CAR
46%
26%
29%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Mictlán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2020 |
CON
2 - 0
DCA
45%
26%
29%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
CON
0 - 0
COM
50%
27%
23%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
ACH
0 - 0
CON
63%
22%
15%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
CON
0 - 0
AUR
50%
27%
24%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
SAC
0 - 1
CON
54%
26%
19%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | +1 |