Carchá vs Mictlán analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.7%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
27.5%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carchá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
CFC
0 - 0
CAR
55%
23%
21%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2019 |
CAR
2 - 0
DCA
41%
26%
34%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | +2 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
SAN
5 - 0
CAR
47%
25%
27%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | -2 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
CAR
2 - 0
DEP
32%
24%
44%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | +2 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
COM
1 - 1
CAR
55%
24%
21%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Mictlán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
CON
1 - 0
ACH
20%
23%
57%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2019 |
CON
1 - 2
SAC
32%
28%
40%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2019 |
CFC
1 - 1
CON
60%
22%
18%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
CON
2 - 1
DCA
34%
26%
39%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
SAN
1 - 0
CON
51%
24%
25%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | -1 |