Carchá vs Mictlán analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.7%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
27.2%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carchá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
AUR
2 - 0
CAR
28%
27%
45%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
CAR
3 - 1
DEP
57%
23%
20%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
UNI
0 - 1
CAR
31%
26%
44%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
CAR
2 - 1
SAN
63%
22%
15%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
COM
0 - 0
CAR
25%
25%
50%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Mictlán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
CON
2 - 1
MIX
64%
22%
14%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
CON
1 - 1
ACH
48%
25%
27%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
AUR
2 - 0
CON
25%
25%
50%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | -2 |
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
CON
1 - 0
DEP
52%
25%
24%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
UNI
2 - 2
CON
34%
25%
41%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | -1 |