Carchá vs Mictlán analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.6%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
34.5%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carchá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
COM
1 - 1
CAR
25%
26%
49%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
CAR
1 - 0
UNI
47%
27%
26%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
DEP
0 - 0
CAR
30%
26%
44%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2018 |
QUI
1 - 0
CAR
24%
24%
52%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
CAR
4 - 0
SAC
62%
23%
15%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Mictlán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
CON
2 - 1
QUI
59%
23%
19%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
SAC
1 - 0
CON
23%
27%
50%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
CON
1 - 0
SAN
57%
25%
19%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2018 |
MIX
2 - 2
CON
24%
27%
49%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
CON
2 - 1
AUR
56%
25%
19%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |