Carchá vs Mictlán analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.1%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.2%
43.7%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carchá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
ANT
5 - 2
CAR
60%
23%
17%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2016 |
CAR
0 - 2
COM
30%
29%
41%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
COB
1 - 0
CAR
58%
24%
18%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
GUA
1 - 0
CAR
55%
25%
21%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
CAR
1 - 1
VEN
28%
27%
45%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Mictlán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
GUA
1 - 0
CON
45%
27%
28%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
ANT
2 - 1
CON
49%
26%
25%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2016 |
CON
2 - 0
LEO
42%
29%
29%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
CON
0 - 0
COM
41%
29%
31%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2016 |
COB
1 - 0
CON
49%
26%
25%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |