Carchá vs Mictlán analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.2%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
10%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.6%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
13%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.1%
44.7%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carchá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2016 |
CAR
2 - 1
ANT
26%
29%
45%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
COM
2 - 1
CAR
67%
20%
13%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
CAR
0 - 0
COB
25%
29%
46%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
VEN
2 - 0
CAR
68%
19%
13%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
CAR
0 - 1
GUA
26%
28%
47%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Mictlán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2016 |
CON
1 - 0
GUA
41%
29%
31%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
LEO
3 - 0
CON
51%
25%
24%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
CON
0 - 1
ANT
43%
28%
29%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
CON
0 - 1
COB
43%
28%
29%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2016 |
VEN
2 - 1
CON
52%
24%
23%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |