Carchá vs Mictlán analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.1%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.3%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
61.5%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carchá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2014 |
ZAC
1 - 1
CAR
46%
24%
30%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
CAR
2 - 0
COB
45%
26%
29%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | +2 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
QUI
1 - 1
CAR
46%
24%
31%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
CAR
0 - 0
HER
16%
24%
60%
|
44 | 63 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
SPD
2 - 0
CAR
51%
23%
26%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Mictlán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2014 |
CON
2 - 1
MIX
68%
21%
12%
|
60 | 44 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
SAC
0 - 0
CON
13%
21%
66%
|
60 | 43 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
CON
4 - 1
DEP
64%
22%
14%
|
61 | 46 | 15 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
SAY
0 - 0
CON
19%
22%
59%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
LEO
4 - 2
CON
45%
25%
31%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -2 |