Carchá vs Mictlán analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.9%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.5%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
61.1%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.8%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carchá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2015 |
DEP
3 - 0
CAR
67%
19%
14%
|
40 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
CAR
1 - 1
SAY
33%
25%
42%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
QUI
1 - 0
CAR
60%
21%
20%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2015 |
CAR
0 - 1
SAC
37%
26%
37%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
HER
2 - 2
CAR
81%
12%
7%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Mictlán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2015 |
MIX
4 - 2
CON
31%
26%
44%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
CON
1 - 1
DEP
46%
26%
29%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
SAY
1 - 0
CON
22%
23%
55%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2015 |
CON
1 - 0
QUI
57%
24%
20%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
SAC
2 - 1
CON
21%
25%
55%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | -1 |