Carchá vs Mictlán analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.9%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
31.3%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carchá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
IZA
1 - 1
CAR
22%
24%
53%
|
48 | 31 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2010 |
CAR
1 - 2
SAC
62%
21%
17%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
GUA
0 - 2
CAR
61%
22%
18%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | +2 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
CAR
2 - 1
COB
29%
23%
48%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
CAR
2 - 3
PET
55%
23%
22%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Mictlán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
CON
5 - 0
PET
57%
23%
21%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2010 |
COB
4 - 3
CON
56%
23%
21%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
TOR
5 - 1
CON
55%
23%
22%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
CON
1 - 1
TOR
45%
25%
29%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
CON
4 - 1
ESC
46%
25%
29%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | +1 |