Carchá vs Mictlán analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.6%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
36.1%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carchá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
CAR
2 - 2
GUA
31%
25%
43%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
COB
1 - 1
CAR
66%
21%
13%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
PET
3 - 2
CAR
35%
26%
40%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | -3 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
CAR
4 - 3
ACH
42%
25%
33%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
TEC
1 - 2
CAR
61%
21%
17%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Mictlán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
PET
2 - 0
CON
25%
23%
51%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
CON
1 - 2
ACH
53%
24%
23%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
TEC
5 - 1
CON
36%
25%
39%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | -2 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
CON
2 - 4
DEP
39%
28%
34%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | -2 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
SAC
1 - 2
CON
24%
24%
52%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | -1 |