Carchá vs Aurora FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
42.8%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carchá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
DSA
1 - 3
CAR
65%
20%
15%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
AUR
2 - 0
CAR
49%
26%
25%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
CAR
1 - 0
DEP
33%
26%
42%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
CDB
2 - 1
CAR
50%
24%
27%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
QUI
5 - 1
CAR
61%
20%
19%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Aurora FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
AUR
2 - 0
CDB
49%
26%
25%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
HER
1 - 1
AUR
71%
17%
12%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2015 |
AUR
0 - 1
HER
28%
27%
45%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
AUR
1 - 1
IZT
44%
27%
28%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2015 |
IZT
0 - 1
AUR
46%
25%
29%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | +1 |