Carchá vs Amatitlán analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.8%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
29.2%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carchá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
GUA
4 - 0
CAR
41%
27%
33%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
CAR
2 - 1
ANT
45%
26%
29%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
SAC
4 - 2
CAR
39%
26%
35%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | -2 |
| 04 Apr. 2012 |
CAR
1 - 0
SAY
43%
25%
32%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
UNI
1 - 0
CAR
62%
21%
17%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Amatitlán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
AMA
6 - 1
TEC
57%
21%
22%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
AMA
2 - 1
GUA
46%
25%
29%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
ANT
2 - 1
AMA
51%
25%
25%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2012 |
AMA
1 - 0
SAC
46%
24%
30%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
SAY
2 - 1
AMA
56%
23%
22%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -1 |