Carchá vs Amatitlán analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.7%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
21.4%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carchá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2011 |
CAR
1 - 1
SAC
39%
25%
37%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
GUA
2 - 1
CAR
49%
26%
26%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
CAR
1 - 3
ANT
47%
25%
29%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
CAR
0 - 2
COB
35%
25%
40%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
ACH
2 - 0
CAR
39%
26%
35%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Amatitlán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2011 |
AMA
2 - 2
ACH
32%
24%
43%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
SAC
1 - 0
AMA
60%
22%
18%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
AMA
6 - 0
TEC
43%
23%
34%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | +2 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
GUA
1 - 0
AMA
60%
23%
17%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
UNI
6 - 0
AMA
76%
16%
8%
|
38 | 62 | 24 | 0 |