Carchá vs Achuapa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.1%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
31.7%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carchá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2010 |
GUA
1 - 1
CAR
55%
23%
22%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
CAR
2 - 1
TEC
53%
23%
24%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
CON
2 - 1
CAR
69%
19%
13%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
CAR
1 - 0
IZA
62%
21%
17%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
SAC
5 - 1
CAR
51%
25%
25%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
Achuapa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2010 |
ACH
3 - 0
PET
59%
22%
20%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
COB
5 - 1
ACH
54%
23%
23%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
ACH
1 - 0
DEP
33%
27%
40%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
ACH
1 - 0
GUA
40%
26%
34%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
TEC
3 - 3
ACH
45%
24%
31%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |