Carcavelinhos vs Vitória Setúbal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.7%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.3%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
38.5%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carcavelinhos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 1937 |
CAR
1 - 3
SLB
21%
20%
59%
|
66 | 84 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1937 |
FCP
4 - 2
CAR
88%
8%
5%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 1937 |
CAR
1 - 0
ACA
61%
20%
20%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 1937 |
CAR
1 - 2
SCP
22%
19%
59%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 1937 |
LEX
4 - 1
CAR
62%
19%
19%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 1937 |
VST
3 - 0
FCP
36%
22%
43%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1937 |
SLB
8 - 1
VST
81%
11%
8%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1937 |
VST
1 - 5
BEL
45%
21%
34%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 1937 |
ACA
2 - 0
VST
39%
22%
39%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 1937 |
VST
2 - 3
SCP
42%
21%
37%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |