Carballedo CF vs Sporting Lucense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.7%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.6%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.1%
33.2%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
7%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1125%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carballedo CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
ANT
1 - 0
CAR
74%
15%
11%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
CAR
2 - 2
CHA
29%
21%
50%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
FER
4 - 0
CAR
73%
16%
11%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
CAR
2 - 3
QUI
36%
22%
43%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
PAL
2 - 1
CAR
76%
14%
10%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Lucense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
SLU
0 - 3
SLA
17%
21%
63%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
CLU
0 - 0
SLU
60%
20%
20%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
SLU
0 - 2
SRO
34%
24%
43%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
INC
3 - 0
SLU
72%
16%
12%
|
8 | 13 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
SLU
0 - 3
BRO
9%
16%
75%
|
9 | 18 | 9 | -1 |