Carballedo CF vs Sporting Lucense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.1%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.1%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.5%
54.4%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.2%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.6%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1123%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carballedo CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
OUR
2 - 2
CAR
79%
13%
9%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
CAR
0 - 0
RSI
42%
21%
37%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
SRO
1 - 1
CAR
53%
22%
25%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
MIL
3 - 0
CAR
84%
11%
6%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
CAR
2 - 3
BEC
11%
15%
75%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Lucense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
SLU
0 - 4
GUN
28%
24%
49%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
SLU
2 - 1
OUR
33%
23%
45%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
RSI
0 - 3
SLU
32%
22%
46%
|
10 | 8 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
SRO
0 - 1
SLU
44%
23%
33%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
SLU
2 - 3
MIL
24%
22%
54%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | 0 |