Caravel vs La Fama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.7%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
5.6%
4-3
1.9%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
20%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
18.5%
23.8%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-59%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caravel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
EST
1 - 1
CAR
46%
21%
33%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
BUB
1 - 3
CAR
46%
21%
33%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | +2 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
CAR
0 - 4
BRI
48%
20%
32%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2016 |
CAR
0 - 4
RCA
50%
20%
31%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
DAK
2 - 1
CAR
55%
20%
26%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
La Fama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
FAM
2 - 6
DAK
48%
23%
29%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
NAC
4 - 1
FAM
49%
21%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
RCA
7 - 1
FAM
54%
22%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
EST
3 - 3
FAM
48%
23%
29%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2016 |
FAM
1 - 3
RIV
48%
23%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |