Caravel vs La Fama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.5%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.5%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.2%
42.3%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
8%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.6%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-54%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caravel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2015 |
RCA
7 - 0
CAR
71%
16%
13%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2015 |
CAR
1 - 1
NAC
36%
22%
43%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2015 |
DAK
2 - 0
CAR
70%
16%
14%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
CAR
0 - 4
NAC
41%
23%
37%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2014 |
CAR
1 - 6
DAK
42%
22%
36%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
La Fama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2015 |
NAC
1 - 0
FAM
52%
21%
27%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2015 |
FAM
1 - 3
EST
52%
22%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
RIV
1 - 2
FAM
49%
22%
29%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2015 |
RIV
1 - 3
FAM
50%
22%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
FAM
6 - 2
BRA
54%
21%
25%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | +1 |