Caravel vs Estrella Papilon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.3%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.9%
36.1%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-59%
-54%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caravel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2021 |
BUB
2 - 3
CAR
57%
20%
23%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2021 |
CAR
0 - 1
RCA
38%
23%
39%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2021 |
CAR
1 - 1
EST
39%
22%
39%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
DAK
5 - 1
CAR
62%
19%
19%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2021 |
FAM
2 - 1
CAR
60%
19%
20%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Estrella Papilon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2021 |
NAC
1 - 1
EST
58%
20%
23%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2021 |
EST
0 - 2
RCA
46%
23%
31%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Jun. 2021 |
CAR
1 - 1
EST
39%
22%
39%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2021 |
EST
0 - 5
BRI
45%
22%
34%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | -2 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
EST
2 - 2
BUB
50%
21%
28%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |