Caravel vs Estrella Papilon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.7%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.1%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
65.9%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12.8%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.7%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-51%
-56%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caravel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
NAC
7 - 1
CAR
86%
10%
4%
|
21 | 45 | 24 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2019 |
CAR
1 - 1
BRA
27%
20%
54%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
FAM
1 - 1
CAR
48%
22%
30%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | -11 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
CAR
1 - 3
EST
13%
18%
69%
|
20 | 38 | 18 | +11 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
RIV
1 - 2
CAR
49%
22%
29%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | -11 |
Matches
Estrella Papilon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2019 |
EST
2 - 1
BRA
70%
16%
14%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2019 |
FAM
1 - 1
EST
35%
23%
43%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Jun. 2019 |
RCA
6 - 1
EST
73%
16%
11%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2019 |
EST
1 - 4
NAC
28%
24%
48%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | -2 |
| 27 May. 2019 |
DAK
2 - 0
EST
68%
19%
14%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | -2 |