Caravel vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
23.4%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caravel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
CAR
0 - 6
FAM
55%
21%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
CAR
2 - 2
JTL
52%
21%
27%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2012 |
CAR
2 - 2
DAK
53%
22%
25%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
CAR
0 - 8
BUB
49%
22%
29%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
CAR
1 - 3
EST
51%
22%
27%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2012 |
JTL
0 - 3
NAC
57%
21%
22%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
NAC
2 - 3
RIV
44%
24%
32%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
NAC
1 - 2
BRI
40%
25%
35%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
NAC
3 - 2
FAM
44%
26%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2012 |
NAC
0 - 1
BUB
44%
25%
32%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |