Caravel vs Britannia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.8%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.3%
1-0
6%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.4%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
56.3%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.3%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-60%
+86%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caravel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2007 |
CAR
3 - 2
SVE
18%
22%
60%
|
16 | 29 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2007 |
DAK
0 - 1
CAR
81%
13%
6%
|
14 | 31 | 17 | +2 |
| 29 Oct. 2007 |
CAR
0 - 7
EST
18%
22%
60%
|
15 | 32 | 17 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2007 |
CAR
0 - 10
RCA
17%
22%
61%
|
16 | 32 | 16 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2007 |
NAC
3 - 1
CAR
79%
14%
7%
|
16 | 32 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Britannia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2007 |
FAM
3 - 2
BRI
51%
23%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2007 |
BRI
2 - 0
RIV
57%
22%
22%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2007 |
BRI
4 - 0
RCA
54%
22%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2007 |
EST
1 - 1
BRI
52%
23%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2007 |
BRI
4 - 0
DAK
55%
22%
23%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |