Caravel vs Racing Club Aruba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.8%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.1%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
63.4%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.7%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12.1%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.3%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-51%
+36%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
6
7º
10º
10º
20
1º
5º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
20 | 20 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
18 | 18 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
16 | 16 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
15 | 15 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
14 | 14 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
14 | 14 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
11 | 11 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
7 | 7 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 7 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
6 | 6 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caravel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2022 |
CAR
2 - 3
FAM
33%
23%
45%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2022 |
BRI
6 - 0
CAR
72%
16%
12%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
CAR
0 - 1
UFC
82%
11%
7%
|
22 | 14 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2022 |
RIV
1 - 2
CAR
70%
16%
14%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
CAR
0 - 8
DAK
22%
20%
58%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Racing Club Aruba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
RCA
2 - 1
BRI
58%
19%
22%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
UFC
0 - 9
RCA
10%
14%
76%
|
32 | 16 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
RCA
4 - 0
RIV
66%
18%
16%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
DAK
1 - 2
RCA
52%
21%
27%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
RCA
1 - 2
NAC
56%
20%
24%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | -1 |