Caravel vs Bubali analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.3%
Win probability
3.1
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.5%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.2%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.5%
3-0
10%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18%
11.2%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
5%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
11.2%
6.5%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-59%
+218%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caravel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2022 |
UFC
2 - 3
CAR
10%
14%
76%
|
26 | 13 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
CAR
0 - 2
FAM
41%
23%
36%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
RCA
9 - 0
CAR
61%
20%
20%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
CAR
1 - 3
RIV
61%
19%
20%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
EST
1 - 1
CAR
31%
22%
47%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Bubali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
DAK
3 - 0
BUB
84%
11%
5%
|
16 | 32 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
BUB
0 - 5
UFC
88%
8%
4%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | -2 |
| 07 Mar. 2022 |
FAM
7 - 0
BUB
78%
14%
8%
|
18 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
BUB
0 - 11
RCA
20%
21%
59%
|
19 | 32 | 13 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
RIV
5 - 1
BUB
69%
16%
14%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | -1 |