Caravel vs Bubali analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.6%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.1%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.4%
35.9%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-54%
+172%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caravel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2015 |
RIV
1 - 0
CAR
63%
18%
20%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
CAR
0 - 5
BRI
36%
20%
43%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
SNI
1 - 3
CAR
49%
21%
30%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | +2 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
CAR
0 - 1
FAM
37%
21%
42%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2015 |
RCA
7 - 0
CAR
71%
16%
13%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Bubali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
BRI
2 - 0
BUB
57%
21%
22%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
BUB
1 - 2
FAM
47%
24%
29%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2015 |
NAC
2 - 2
BUB
51%
22%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2015 |
BUB
4 - 0
EST
45%
24%
31%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
RIV
2 - 0
BUB
52%
22%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |