Caravan vs Santos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.5%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
2%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.2%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
62.9%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12.1%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.4%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caravan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2017 |
FLO
6 - 2
CAR
74%
15%
11%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
TAH
3 - 1
CAR
48%
22%
30%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
WUN
2 - 1
CAR
68%
18%
14%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
PAP
4 - 0
CAR
64%
18%
18%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
SLE
6 - 2
CAR
70%
17%
14%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Santos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
SFC
2 - 1
TAH
68%
17%
15%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
SFC
1 - 1
SLE
55%
20%
25%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
PAP
0 - 1
SFC
43%
21%
36%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
SFC
1 - 0
BOM
83%
11%
7%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
FLO
2 - 4
SFC
66%
18%
17%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | +2 |