Caravaggio vs Voghera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.2%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.4%
1-0
8%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.8%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
44.3%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-44%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caravaggio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
STG
0 - 1
CAR
46%
24%
30%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
CAR
3 - 2
SAN
54%
23%
23%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
FER
3 - 2
CAR
40%
25%
35%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
CAR
1 - 1
LEC
35%
27%
39%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2012 |
DAR
1 - 1
CAR
61%
22%
16%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Voghera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
VOG
0 - 1
PER
27%
27%
47%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
CAR
3 - 2
VOG
60%
22%
18%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
VOG
0 - 1
STG
66%
20%
14%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
VOG
2 - 0
SAN
68%
19%
13%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2012 |
FER
1 - 1
VOG
21%
22%
57%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | -1 |