Caravaggio vs Voghera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.5%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.1%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.4%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
48.1%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-42%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caravaggio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
REN
2 - 0
CAR
68%
19%
12%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2010 |
OLG
2 - 1
CAR
67%
19%
14%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2009 |
CAR
1 - 0
PON
26%
25%
50%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | +2 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
USS
2 - 2
CAR
64%
21%
16%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
FIO
2 - 0
CAR
54%
23%
22%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Voghera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2010 |
VOG
2 - 0
SAC
61%
21%
18%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
VOG
4 - 0
USS
54%
23%
23%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2010 |
FIO
1 - 5
VOG
40%
25%
35%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
VOG
1 - 0
BOR
64%
20%
16%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
PER
0 - 0
VOG
40%
25%
35%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | 0 |