Caravaggio vs Tritium analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.4%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.7%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.3%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
47.6%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
9%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.3%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-58%
-35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caravaggio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2020 |
UNI
2 - 0
CAR
84%
12%
5%
|
30 | 47 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
CAR
2 - 1
CAL
28%
22%
50%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | +2 |
| 05 Jan. 2020 |
VBE
1 - 2
CAR
60%
21%
19%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2019 |
ARC
1 - 1
CAR
58%
22%
20%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
CAR
2 - 2
VIR
56%
20%
23%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Tritium
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2020 |
TRI
0 - 0
SCA
55%
22%
24%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
BUS
0 - 2
TRI
21%
21%
58%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2020 |
TRI
2 - 1
INV
66%
17%
16%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2019 |
TRI
0 - 2
FOL
48%
22%
30%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | -2 |
| 14 Dec. 2019 |
LEV
2 - 1
TRI
21%
21%
59%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | -1 |