Caravaggio vs Trento analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.2%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
15.5%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-44%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caravaggio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
OLG
1 - 1
CAR
68%
20%
12%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
CAR
1 - 0
PRO
50%
25%
26%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
ALZ
0 - 0
CAR
65%
20%
15%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2012 |
CAR
1 - 0
ACM
43%
26%
31%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
CAR
0 - 0
CAR
74%
17%
9%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Trento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
TRE
1 - 2
FER
57%
22%
21%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
VOG
4 - 1
TRE
68%
20%
13%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
TRE
1 - 0
DAR
25%
24%
51%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | +2 |
| 01 Nov. 2012 |
SAN
3 - 1
TRE
48%
23%
28%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
TRE
1 - 4
PON
13%
20%
67%
|
22 | 45 | 23 | -1 |