Caravaggio vs Virtus Ciserano Bergamo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.2%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
39.6%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-40%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caravaggio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2025 |
CAR
0 - 3
SAN
23%
25%
53%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
CAL
0 - 1
CAR
61%
24%
15%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | +2 |
| 17 Apr. 2025 |
CAR
0 - 0
CAL
23%
25%
52%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
BRI
2 - 2
CAR
48%
25%
27%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
CAR
0 - 2
CNO
43%
25%
32%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Virtus Ciserano Bergamo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2025 |
VCB
3 - 2
BV5
36%
26%
38%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
POR
1 - 1
VCB
55%
25%
21%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2025 |
VCB
1 - 3
SDA
19%
24%
57%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
SAN
0 - 0
VCB
65%
21%
14%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
VCB
1 - 1
CAL
31%
26%
43%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |