Caravaggio vs Scanzorosciate analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.1%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
23.4%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caravaggio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
OLG
1 - 1
CAR
49%
25%
27%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
CAR
2 - 1
FAN
43%
24%
33%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
LEV
0 - 0
CAR
31%
23%
46%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2016 |
CAR
1 - 2
GRU
47%
23%
30%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
VIR
1 - 3
CAR
28%
23%
49%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Scanzorosciate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
SCA
2 - 1
CIS
34%
24%
42%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
OLG
3 - 0
SCA
55%
22%
23%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
SCA
2 - 2
VBE
19%
21%
60%
|
29 | 42 | 13 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2016 |
PRO
4 - 0
SCA
70%
18%
12%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
FAN
0 - 1
SCA
69%
18%
13%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | +1 |