Caravaggio vs Inveruno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.4%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.2%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
36.6%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caravaggio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2015 |
FOL
2 - 2
CAR
53%
25%
23%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
CAR
0 - 2
LEC
23%
25%
52%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
VBE
1 - 2
CAR
60%
20%
20%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
SER
2 - 2
CAR
61%
22%
17%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
CAR
2 - 2
GRU
20%
22%
59%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Inveruno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2015 |
INV
4 - 2
LEC
22%
21%
57%
|
26 | 40 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
MAP
3 - 1
INV
53%
22%
25%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | -2 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
INV
0 - 3
SER
40%
23%
37%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
FIO
2 - 2
INV
41%
24%
35%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
INV
2 - 3
PRO
45%
23%
32%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | -1 |