Caravaggio vs Folgore Caratese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.5%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
37.9%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-50%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caravaggio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
LEC
1 - 0
CAR
82%
13%
5%
|
25 | 42 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2016 |
CAR
1 - 1
VBE
34%
24%
42%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
CAR
0 - 2
SER
17%
23%
60%
|
26 | 40 | 14 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
GRU
0 - 0
CAR
76%
15%
9%
|
26 | 40 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
CAR
0 - 1
PRO
44%
27%
30%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Folgore Caratese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
FOL
0 - 0
PRO
53%
24%
23%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2016 |
MAP
0 - 0
FOL
38%
27%
35%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
FOL
1 - 1
PON
32%
26%
42%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
FIO
1 - 3
FOL
54%
25%
21%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
FOL
3 - 3
SON
66%
19%
15%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | 0 |