Caravaggio vs Folgore Caratese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.2%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
17.4%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caravaggio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2014 |
PIA
2 - 2
CAR
63%
21%
15%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
CAR
1 - 1
ACS
67%
20%
13%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2014 |
MAP
2 - 1
CAR
36%
26%
39%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
CAR
2 - 1
LEG
57%
23%
20%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
LEC
1 - 1
CAR
53%
24%
24%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Folgore Caratese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2014 |
FOL
3 - 1
DER
50%
26%
24%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
AST
2 - 0
FOL
41%
28%
32%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | -2 |
| 17 Apr. 2014 |
FOL
1 - 0
VER
77%
15%
8%
|
31 | 16 | 15 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
VFC
1 - 1
FOL
44%
25%
31%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
FOL
1 - 0
LAV
31%
28%
41%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | +1 |