Caravaggio vs Folgore Caratese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.1%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
26%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-42%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caravaggio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
CAN
1 - 0
CAR
48%
25%
27%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
CAR
2 - 2
ALZ
23%
25%
53%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
STD
0 - 0
CAR
26%
26%
48%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
CAR
0 - 1
COL
30%
27%
44%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
CAR
1 - 1
CAR
72%
17%
11%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Folgore Caratese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
FOL
0 - 1
BOR
47%
25%
28%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
SAC
1 - 0
FOL
48%
25%
27%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
PER
1 - 0
FOL
44%
26%
30%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
FOL
1 - 1
TRI
27%
26%
47%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
CAN
3 - 1
FOL
41%
26%
34%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | -2 |