Caravaggio vs Dro Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.9%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
12.9%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caravaggio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
CRE
1 - 1
CAR
53%
22%
25%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
CAR
1 - 1
PRO
26%
25%
49%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2018 |
GRU
2 - 1
CAR
39%
27%
35%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | -2 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
CAR
2 - 1
ROM
85%
10%
4%
|
33 | 16 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
REZ
1 - 0
CAR
72%
18%
10%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Dro Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
DCA
0 - 3
VBE
20%
24%
56%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
PON
4 - 1
DCA
85%
11%
5%
|
25 | 43 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
DCA
3 - 1
CRE
21%
22%
58%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | +2 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
PRO
1 - 0
DCA
81%
14%
5%
|
23 | 43 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
DCA
0 - 0
GRU
23%
24%
53%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | 0 |