Caravaggio vs Dro Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.6%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
28.5%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caravaggio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
CIS
0 - 1
CAR
47%
23%
30%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
CAR
3 - 2
PSM
27%
24%
50%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
VBE
1 - 0
CAR
66%
19%
16%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
CAR
1 - 1
PRO
32%
26%
42%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
SCA
0 - 3
CAR
57%
22%
21%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Dro Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
DCA
1 - 0
SCA
55%
22%
23%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
OLG
3 - 2
DCA
53%
25%
22%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
FAN
1 - 1
DCA
68%
18%
14%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
DCA
1 - 0
LEV
51%
22%
27%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
PON
3 - 0
DCA
69%
19%
13%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | -1 |