Caravaggio vs Darfo Boario analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.6%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
32.3%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-42%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caravaggio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
SER
2 - 1
CAR
61%
22%
17%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
CAR
2 - 0
DCA
46%
26%
29%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
CIS
0 - 1
CAR
47%
23%
30%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | +2 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
CAR
3 - 2
PSM
27%
24%
50%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
VBE
1 - 0
CAR
66%
19%
16%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Darfo Boario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2016 |
DAR
1 - 0
BUS
51%
22%
27%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
DAR
2 - 0
SCA
60%
20%
20%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
OLG
1 - 0
DAR
50%
25%
25%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
DAR
0 - 2
FAN
41%
23%
36%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
LEV
1 - 2
DAR
34%
23%
43%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | +1 |