Caravaggio vs Ciserano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.9%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
31.6%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caravaggio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
PSM
1 - 2
CAR
73%
16%
12%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
CAR
1 - 3
VBE
24%
22%
54%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | -2 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
PRO
2 - 0
CAR
63%
22%
16%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
CAR
1 - 0
SCA
54%
23%
23%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
OLG
1 - 1
CAR
49%
25%
27%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Ciserano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
CIS
1 - 2
PRO
32%
23%
45%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
CIS
0 - 2
OLG
56%
21%
23%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
VBE
0 - 1
CIS
67%
18%
15%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
CIS
3 - 0
LEV
60%
20%
20%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
SCA
2 - 1
CIS
34%
24%
42%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | 0 |