Caravaggio vs Ciserano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.7%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.7%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.2%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
48.5%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caravaggio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
PIA
2 - 1
CAR
83%
13%
5%
|
28 | 47 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
CAR
1 - 3
INV
39%
24%
37%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2015 |
FOL
2 - 2
CAR
53%
25%
23%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
CAR
0 - 2
LEC
23%
25%
52%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
VBE
1 - 2
CAR
60%
20%
20%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Ciserano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
CIS
1 - 3
LEC
42%
23%
35%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
MAP
0 - 1
CIS
35%
23%
42%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2015 |
CIS
0 - 2
SER
53%
22%
26%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | -2 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
FIO
1 - 1
CIS
25%
23%
52%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
CIS
1 - 0
PRO
59%
21%
20%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | +1 |