Caravaggio vs Ciserano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.3%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
31.8%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caravaggio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
PER
1 - 0
CAR
43%
26%
32%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
CAR
2 - 1
VIL
46%
25%
29%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
OLG
2 - 1
CAR
47%
26%
28%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
CAR
0 - 2
PSM
53%
23%
24%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
PRO
1 - 1
CAR
40%
27%
33%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Ciserano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
CIS
4 - 1
ACM
81%
12%
6%
|
31 | 14 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
SON
3 - 0
CIS
41%
23%
37%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | -2 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
CIS
5 - 0
INV
28%
23%
49%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | +3 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
FOL
3 - 1
CIS
41%
24%
36%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
CIS
0 - 1
MAP
57%
21%
22%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | -1 |