Caravaggio vs Lecco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.4%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
20.1%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-45%
-51%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caravaggio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
ASS
1 - 1
CAR
76%
16%
8%
|
34 | 49 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
CAR
3 - 2
PER
28%
27%
45%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
DAR
2 - 1
CAR
59%
23%
19%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
CAR
3 - 3
SER
34%
26%
41%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
DCA
0 - 0
CAR
37%
26%
37%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Lecco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
LEC
0 - 0
CIS
50%
24%
27%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
OLG
3 - 1
LEC
38%
25%
37%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
LEC
0 - 2
VBE
31%
22%
47%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | -2 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
LEV
1 - 2
LEC
38%
22%
40%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
LEC
2 - 1
SCA
57%
20%
23%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +1 |