Caravaggio vs Lecco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.8%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
26.3%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-51%
-53%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caravaggio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
BOR
2 - 4
CAR
22%
24%
54%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
CAR
1 - 1
SER
54%
24%
22%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
ACC
0 - 2
CAR
44%
26%
30%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
CAR
2 - 2
AUR
52%
24%
25%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
PON
2 - 1
CAR
68%
20%
13%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Lecco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
LEC
2 - 1
MAP
63%
19%
18%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
PIA
2 - 2
LEC
67%
20%
13%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
LEG
2 - 0
LEC
44%
26%
30%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
LEC
4 - 2
PRO
52%
23%
24%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
BOR
0 - 3
LEC
23%
24%
53%
|
33 | 19 | 14 | +1 |