Caravaggio vs Arconatese analysis

Caravaggio Arconatese
34 ELO 47
-11% Tilt -9.8%
6420º General ELO ranking 6715º
237º Country ELO ranking 254º
ELO win probability
21%
Caravaggio
25.9%
Draw
53.1%
Arconatese

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21%
Win probability
Caravaggio
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.3%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.9%
53.1%
Win probability
Arconatese
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Caravaggio
-50%
-41%
Arconatese

Points and table prediction

Caravaggio
Their league position
Arconatese
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
14º
14º
68
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Caldiero Terme
77
77
100%
Piacenza
74
74
100%
 Pro Palazzolo
73
73
100%
Desenzano Calvina
70
70
100%
Varesina
68
68
100%
Arconatese
68
68
100%
Calcio Brusaporto
54
54
100%
Villa Valle
53
53
100%
AC Chievo Verona
53
53
100%
Casatese
10º
52
52
10º
100%
Folgore Caratese
11º
51
51
11º
100%
Club Milano
12º
45
45
12º
0%
Virtus Ciserano Bergamo
13º
45
45
13º
0%
Caravaggio
14º
44
44
14º
100%
Real Calepina
15º
42
42
15º
100%
AC Legnano
16º
42
42
16º
100%
Castellanzese
17º
39
39
17º
100%
Crema
18º
34
34
18º
100%
Tritium
19º
29
29
19º
100%
US Ponte San Pietro
20º
25
25
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
Caravaggio
Arconatese
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Caravaggio
Arconatese
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Caravaggio
Caravaggio
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Apr. 2024
CAR
Caravaggio
3 - 2
Tritium
TRI
61%
22%
18%
35 28 7 0
07 Apr. 2024
FCC
AC Chievo Verona
1 - 0
Caravaggio
CAR
48%
22%
30%
35 36 1 0
28 Mar. 2024
CAR
Caravaggio
1 - 1
Casatese
CAS
22%
27%
52%
34 45 11 +1
24 Mar. 2024
FOL
Folgore Caratese
2 - 1
Caravaggio
CAR
62%
22%
16%
34 44 10 0
20 Mar. 2024
VCB
Virtus Ciserano Bergamo
1 - 0
Caravaggio
CAR
57%
21%
22%
35 38 3 -1

Matches

Arconatese
Arconatese
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Apr. 2024
ARC
Arconatese
1 - 1
Folgore Caratese
FOL
58%
23%
19%
46 43 3 0
07 Apr. 2024
TRI
Tritium
0 - 1
Arconatese
ARC
16%
21%
63%
46 29 17 0
28 Mar. 2024
ARC
Arconatese
1 - 3
Virtus Ciserano Bergamo
VCB
66%
20%
14%
46 38 8 0
24 Mar. 2024
CAS
Casatese
1 - 1
Arconatese
ARC
44%
26%
31%
46 45 1 0
16 Mar. 2024
ARC
Arconatese
0 - 1
Real Calepina
CAL
72%
17%
10%
46 34 12 0