Caravaggio vs Arconatese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.7%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
29.3%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-43%
-72%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caravaggio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
CAR
1 - 1
ADR
37%
24%
39%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2021 |
CAL
3 - 0
CAR
27%
23%
50%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | -3 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
CAR
3 - 0
VIL
55%
22%
23%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
LEO
3 - 2
CAR
24%
21%
55%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2021 |
CAS
6 - 2
CAR
48%
22%
30%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Arconatese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
ARC
2 - 1
CAL
59%
20%
21%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2021 |
VIL
4 - 2
ARC
34%
26%
40%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
ARC
1 - 1
LEO
70%
17%
14%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
VCB
2 - 2
ARC
53%
22%
25%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2021 |
OLG
0 - 0
ARC
26%
25%
49%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |