Caravaggio vs Pro Sesto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.5%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
25.9%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-44%
-58%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caravaggio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
ALZ
0 - 0
CAR
65%
20%
15%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2012 |
CAR
1 - 0
ACM
43%
26%
31%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
CAR
0 - 0
CAR
74%
17%
9%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
CAR
1 - 0
PER
17%
24%
59%
|
25 | 40 | 15 | +2 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
CAR
0 - 1
VOG
30%
25%
44%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Pro Sesto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
PRO
0 - 0
FER
72%
17%
11%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2012 |
VOG
3 - 2
PRO
56%
24%
20%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
PRO
2 - 1
DAR
39%
26%
35%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
SAN
2 - 2
PRO
32%
24%
44%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
PRO
0 - 3
PON
17%
22%
61%
|
27 | 44 | 17 | -1 |