Caravaggio vs AC Monza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.8%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.8%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.3%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
23.5%
62.7%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
16.5%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.1%
0-2
13.9%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-50%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caravaggio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
PER
3 - 2
CAR
58%
24%
18%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
CAR
0 - 1
CIS
28%
24%
49%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
PIA
2 - 1
CAR
83%
13%
5%
|
28 | 47 | 19 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
CAR
1 - 3
INV
39%
24%
37%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2015 |
FOL
2 - 2
CAR
53%
25%
23%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
ASS
4 - 1
MAP
83%
12%
5%
|
46 | 27 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
FIO
0 - 0
ASS
15%
24%
61%
|
47 | 28 | 19 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
ASS
2 - 1
PRO
80%
14%
6%
|
46 | 29 | 17 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
BUS
0 - 1
ASS
20%
22%
58%
|
46 | 28 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2015 |
ASS
2 - 0
PON
72%
18%
11%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | 0 |