Caravaggio FC vs Criciúma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.2%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.1%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.7%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.4%
71.3%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
14%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.7%
0-3
9.9%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
13.8%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.9%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+90%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caravaggio FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
CRA
0 - 1
CFC
57%
21%
23%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
CFC
0 - 1
MET
16%
17%
67%
|
26 | 43 | 17 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
CFC
0 - 0
BLU
29%
22%
49%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2021 |
BLU
1 - 0
CFC
56%
21%
23%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
CAI
1 - 2
CFC
55%
21%
24%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Criciúma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
CRI
0 - 1
BRU
37%
28%
36%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2022 |
CRI
3 - 1
CAC
83%
12%
5%
|
65 | 24 | 41 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
CHA
2 - 3
CRI
51%
29%
20%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 2022 |
CRI
3 - 1
SAM
38%
30%
33%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
BAH
2 - 1
CRI
76%
17%
7%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | 0 |